Saturday's game at Minute Maid Park has the Baltimore Orioles (49-25) squaring off against the Houston Astros (35-40) at 4:10 PM ET (on June 22). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 4-3 victory for the Orioles, so it should be a tight matchup.

The probable pitchers are Corbin Burnes (8-2) for the Orioles and Ronel Blanco (7-2) for the Astros.

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Orioles vs. Astros Game Info & Odds

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Orioles vs. Astros Score Prediction

  • Our pick for this matchup is Orioles 4, Astros 3.

Total Prediction for Orioles vs. Astros

  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

Orioles Performance Insights

  • The Orioles have played as the favorite in five of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
  • Baltimore and its opponents have combined to hit the over four times in its last 10 games with a total.
  • The Orioles have won 37, or 67.3%, of the 55 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Baltimore has entered 33 games this season favored by -145 or more and is 22-11 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Orioles, based on the moneyline, is 59.2%.
  • Baltimore has scored the most runs (390) in baseball so far this year.
  • The Orioles have the second-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (3.14).

Astros Performance Insights

  • Over their last 10 games, the Astros have been favored twice and split those games 1-1.
  • In its last 10 games with an over/under, Houston and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total three times.
  • The Astros have been underdogs in 15 games this season and have come away with the win six times (40%) in those contests.
  • Houston has been listed as an underdog of +120 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
  • The Astros have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Averaging 4.4 runs per game (328 total), Houston is the 14th-highest scoring team in the majors.
  • Astros pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.12 ERA this year, which ranks 19th in MLB.

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Orioles Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 15 Phillies W 6-2 Grayson Rodriguez vs Taijuan Walker
June 16 Phillies W 8-3 Corbin Burnes vs Zack Wheeler
June 18 @ Yankees L 4-2 Albert Suarez vs Nestor Cortes Jr.
June 19 @ Yankees W 7-6 Cade Povich vs Gerrit Cole
June 20 @ Yankees W 17-5 Cole Irvin vs Luis Gil
June 22 @ Astros - Corbin Burnes vs Ronel Blanco
June 23 @ Astros - Albert Suarez vs Framber Valdez
June 24 Guardians - Cade Povich vs Tanner Bibee
June 25 Guardians - Cole Irvin vs Logan Allen
June 26 Guardians - Grayson Rodriguez vs Carlos Carrasco
June 27 Rangers - Corbin Burnes vs Jon Gray

Astros Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 15 Tigers L 13-5 Spencer Arrighetti vs Jack Flaherty
June 16 Tigers W 4-1 Ronel Blanco vs Kenta Maeda
June 18 @ White Sox L 2-0 Framber Valdez vs Jonathan Cannon
June 19 @ White Sox W 4-1 Hunter Brown vs Garrett Crochet
June 20 @ White Sox W 5-3 Spencer Arrighetti vs Chris Flexen
June 22 Orioles - Ronel Blanco vs Corbin Burnes
June 23 Orioles - Framber Valdez vs Albert Suarez
June 25 Rockies - Hunter Brown vs Austin Gomber
June 26 Rockies - Spencer Arrighetti vs Ryan Feltner
June 28 @ Mets - TBA vs José Quintana
June 29 @ Mets - TBA vs TBA

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.