Thursday's game at T-Mobile Park has the Seattle Mariners (30-26) squaring off against the Houston Astros (24-31) at 4:10 PM ET (on May 30). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 4-3 win for the Mariners, so expect a tight matchup.

The Mariners will give the nod to Logan Gilbert (3-2, 3.06 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 4 on the season, and the Astros will turn to Spencer Arrighetti (2-5, 6.93 ERA).

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Mariners vs. Astros Game Info & Odds

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Mariners vs. Astros Score Prediction

  • Our pick for this contest is Mariners 4, Astros 3.

Total Prediction for Mariners vs. Astros

  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs

Mariners Performance Insights

  • The Mariners have played as the favorite in four of their past 10 games and have won two of those contests.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, Seattle and its opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • This season, the Mariners have won 17 out of the 29 games, or 58.6%, in which they've been favored.
  • This season Seattle has won 17 of its 29 games, or 58.6%, when favored by at least -115 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Mariners, based on the moneyline, is 53.5%.
  • Seattle is among the lowest-scoring teams in the majors, ranking 27th with just 209 total runs (3.7 per game) this season.
  • The Mariners' 3.65 team ERA ranks ninth among all MLB pitching staffs.

Astros Performance Insights

  • In their last 10 contests, the Astros were underdogs just once and were the losers in that contest.
  • When it comes to the over/under, Houston and its foes are 4-6-0 in its previous 10 contests.
  • The Astros have been victorious in four, or 36.4%, of the 11 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Houston has a win-loss record of 2-6 when favored by -105 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Astros have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Averaging 4.5 runs per game (246 total), Houston is the 11th-highest scoring team in the majors.
  • Astros pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.43 ERA this year, which ranks 26th in MLB.

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Mariners Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
May 25 @ Nationals L 3-1 Logan Gilbert vs Trevor Williams
May 26 @ Nationals W 9-5 Bryan Woo vs Patrick Corbin
May 27 Astros W 3-2 Bryce Miller vs Framber Valdez
May 28 Astros W 4-2 Luis Castillo vs Hunter Brown
May 29 Astros - George Kirby vs Justin Verlander
May 30 Astros - Logan Gilbert vs Spencer Arrighetti
May 31 Angels - Bryan Woo vs José Soriano
June 1 Angels - Bryce Miller vs Reid Detmers
June 2 Angels - Luis Castillo vs Griffin Canning
June 4 @ Athletics - TBA vs TBA
June 5 @ Athletics - TBA vs TBA

Astros Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
May 25 @ Athletics L 3-1 Spencer Arrighetti vs JP Sears
May 26 @ Athletics W 5-2 Ronel Blanco vs Aaron Brooks
May 27 @ Mariners L 3-2 Framber Valdez vs Bryce Miller
May 28 @ Mariners L 4-2 Hunter Brown vs Luis Castillo
May 29 @ Mariners - Justin Verlander vs George Kirby
May 30 @ Mariners - Spencer Arrighetti vs Logan Gilbert
May 31 Twins - Ronel Blanco vs Pablo Lopez
June 1 Twins - Framber Valdez vs Joe Ryan
June 2 Twins - Hunter Brown vs Simeon Woods Richardson
June 3 Cardinals - TBA vs TBA
June 4 Cardinals - TBA vs TBA

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.