Tuesday's game that pits the Philadelphia Phillies (45-20) against the Boston Red Sox (33-33) at Fenway Park should be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Phillies. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET on June 11.
The Phillies will give the ball to Zack Wheeler (7-3, 2.23 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 8 on the season, and the Red Sox will counter with Kutter Crawford (2-5, 3.51 ERA).
Watch MLB, other live sports and more on Fubo! Use our link to sign up for a free trial.
Phillies vs. Red Sox Game Info & Odds
- When: Tuesday, June 11, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
- Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
- How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
- Tickets:Get tickets for this game at StubHub
Place your bets on any MLB matchup at BetMGM, and sign up with our link for a first-time deposit bonus!
Phillies vs. Red Sox Score Prediction
- Our pick for this contest is Phillies 6, Red Sox 5.
Total Prediction for Phillies vs. Red Sox
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Phillies Performance Insights
- In 10 games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Phillies have a record of 7-3.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the under or pushed in each of its last 10 games with a total.
- The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 50 times this season and won 35, or 70%, of those games.
- Philadelphia is 22-6 this season when entering a game favored by -165 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 62.3%.
- Philadelphia is among the highest-scoring teams in the majors, ranking third with 332 total runs this season.
- The Phillies have the second-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (2.94).
Red Sox Performance Insights
- The Red Sox have been the underdog just one time in the past 10 contests and lost that game.
- When it comes to the over/under, Boston and its foes are 7-3-0 in its previous 10 contests.
- The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 28 games this year and have walked away with the win 14 times (50%) in those games.
- Boston has a win-loss record of 2-4 when favored by +140 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 41.7% chance of pulling out a win.
- Averaging 4.5 runs per game (296 total), Boston is the 11th-highest scoring team in the majors.
- Red Sox pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.40 ERA this year, fifth-best in baseball.
Put your picks to the test and bet with BetMGM!
Phillies Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 3 | Brewers | W 3-1 | Zack Wheeler vs Jared Koenig |
| June 4 | Brewers | W 2-1 | Cristopher Sanchez vs Jared Koenig |
| June 5 | Brewers | W 2-0 | Aaron Nola vs Aaron Ashby |
| June 8 | @ Mets | W 7-2 | Ranger Suárez vs Sean Manaea |
| June 9 | Mets | L 6-5 | Taijuan Walker vs José Quintana |
| June 11 | @ Red Sox | - | Zack Wheeler vs Kutter Crawford |
| June 12 | @ Red Sox | - | Cristopher Sanchez vs Nick Pivetta |
| June 13 | @ Red Sox | - | Aaron Nola vs Tanner Houck |
| June 14 | @ Orioles | - | Ranger Suárez vs Grayson Rodriguez |
| June 15 | @ Orioles | - | Taijuan Walker vs Corbin Burnes |
| June 16 | @ Orioles | - | Zack Wheeler vs TBA |
Red Sox Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 5 | Braves | W 9-0 | Nick Pivetta vs Spencer Schwellenbach |
| June 6 | @ White Sox | W 14-2 | Tanner Houck vs Jake Woodford |
| June 7 | @ White Sox | L 7-2 | Cooper Criswell vs Garrett Crochet |
| June 8 | @ White Sox | L 6-1 | Brayan Bello vs Nick Nastrini |
| June 9 | @ White Sox | W 6-4 | Zack Kelly vs Chris Flexen |
| June 11 | Phillies | - | Kutter Crawford vs Zack Wheeler |
| June 12 | Phillies | - | Nick Pivetta vs Cristopher Sanchez |
| June 13 | Phillies | - | Tanner Houck vs Aaron Nola |
| June 14 | Yankees | - | Cooper Criswell vs Luis Gil |
| June 15 | Yankees | - | Brayan Bello vs Carlos Rodón |
| June 16 | Yankees | - | Kutter Crawford vs Marcus Stroman |
Rep your team with officially licensed MLB gear! Head to Fanatics to find jerseys, shirts, and much more.
Not all offers available in all states, please visit BetMGM for the latest promotions for your area. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.
dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.