Wednesday's contest between the San Diego Padres (29-28) and Miami Marlins (19-36) squaring off at PETCO Park has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Padres, who is listed as a slight favorite by our model. The game will start at 4:10 PM ET on May 29.

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Padres will send Yu Darvish (4-2) to the mound, while Braxton Garrett (1-0) will answer the bell for the Marlins.

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Padres vs. Marlins Game Info & Odds

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Padres vs. Marlins Score Prediction

  • Our prediction for this matchup is Padres 5, Marlins 4.

Total Prediction for Padres vs. Marlins

  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs

Padres Performance Insights

  • The Padres have played as the favorite in five of their past 10 games and have won three of those contests.
  • San Diego and its opponents have combined to hit the over five times in its last 10 games with a total.
  • The Padres have won 15, or 51.7%, of the 29 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • San Diego is 8-9 this season when entering a game favored by -140 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have a 58.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • San Diego has scored 250 runs this season, which ranks eighth in MLB.
  • The Padres have a 3.91 team ERA that ranks 14th across all league pitching staffs.

Marlins Performance Insights

  • In 10 games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 6-4.
  • In its previous 10 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on four occasions.
  • The Marlins have been underdogs in 39 games this season and have come away with the win 16 times (41%) in those contests.
  • Miami has a mark of 6-15 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +120 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • The offense for Miami is No. 28 in baseball scoring 3.7 runs per game (202 total runs).
  • The Marlins have pitched to a 4.60 ERA this season, which ranks 27th in baseball.

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Padres Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
May 24 Yankees L 8-0 Yu Darvish vs Carlos Rodón
May 25 Yankees L 4-1 Dylan Cease vs Marcus Stroman
May 26 Yankees W 5-2 Joe Musgrove vs Clarke Schmidt
May 27 Marlins W 2-1 Michael King vs Trevor Rogers
May 28 Marlins - Matt Waldron vs Jesús Luzardo
May 29 Marlins - Yu Darvish vs Braxton Garrett
May 31 @ Royals - Dylan Cease vs Michael Wacha
June 1 @ Royals - Joe Musgrove vs Alec Marsh
June 2 @ Royals - Michael King vs Cole Ragans
June 3 @ Angels - TBA vs TBA
June 4 @ Angels - TBA vs TBA

Marlins Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
May 24 @ Diamondbacks W 3-0 Braxton Garrett vs Zac Gallen
May 25 @ Diamondbacks L 3-2 Sixto Sanchez vs Jordan Montgomery
May 26 @ Diamondbacks W 3-1 Ryan Weathers vs Blake Walston
May 27 @ Padres L 2-1 Trevor Rogers vs Michael King
May 28 @ Padres - Jesús Luzardo vs Matt Waldron
May 29 @ Padres - Braxton Garrett vs Yu Darvish
May 31 Rangers - Sixto Sanchez vs José Ureña
June 1 Rangers - Ryan Weathers vs Michael Lorenzen
June 2 Rangers - Trevor Rogers vs TBA
June 4 Rays - TBA vs TBA
June 5 Rays - TBA vs TBA

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.