Saturday's game at PNC Park has the Pittsburgh Pirates (55-54) taking on the Arizona Diamondbacks (59-51) at 6:40 PM ET (on August 3). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 victory for the Pirates, so expect a competitive matchup.

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Pirates will send Mitch Keller (10-5) to the mound, while Jordan Montgomery (7-5) will take the ball for the Diamondbacks.

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Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Game Info & Odds

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Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Score Prediction

  • Our pick for this contest is Pirates 5, Diamondbacks 4.

Total Prediction for Pirates vs. Diamondbacks

  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

Explore More About This Game

  • How to Watch Pirates vs. Diamondbacks

    • Pirates Performance Insights

    • The Pirates have played as the favorite in three of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
    • In its last 10 games with a total, Pittsburgh and its opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
    • The Pirates have been favorites in 43 games this season and won 22 (51.2%) of those contests.
    • Pittsburgh has entered 39 games this season favored by -120 or more and is 19-20 in those contests.
    • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Pirates.
    • Pittsburgh ranks 24th in the majors with 459 total runs scored this season.
    • The Pirates have a 3.82 team ERA that ranks ninth among all league pitching staffs.

    Diamondbacks Performance Insights

    • The Diamondbacks have been an underdog just two times in their last 10 contests and split those games 1-1.
    • In its previous 10 games with a total, Arizona and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on eight occasions.
    • The Diamondbacks have won in 23, or 44.2%, of the 52 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
    • Arizona has a win-loss record of 18-21 when favored by +100 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
    • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 50% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
    • Arizona is the second-highest scoring team in the majors, averaging 5.2 runs per game (567 total).
    • The Diamondbacks have the 25th-ranked ERA (4.52) in the majors this season.

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    Pirates Schedule

    Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
    July 28 @ Diamondbacks W 6-5 Mitch Keller vs Yilber Diaz
    July 29 @ Astros W 5-3 Paul Skenes vs Tayler Scott
    July 30 @ Astros W 6-2 Bailey Falter vs Hunter Brown
    July 31 @ Astros L 5-4 Jake Woodford vs Framber Valdez
    August 2 Diamondbacks L 9-8 Luis Ortiz vs Brandon Pfaadt
    August 3 Diamondbacks - Mitch Keller vs Jordan Montgomery
    August 4 Diamondbacks - Paul Skenes vs Ryne Nelson
    August 6 Padres - Marco Gonzales vs Matt Waldron
    August 7 Padres - TBA vs Dylan Cease
    August 8 Padres - Luis Ortiz vs Randy Vasquez
    August 9 @ Dodgers - Mitch Keller vs Jack Flaherty

    Diamondbacks Schedule

    Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
    July 28 Pirates L 6-5 Yilber Diaz vs Mitch Keller
    July 29 Nationals W 9-8 Jordan Montgomery vs Mitchell Parker
    July 30 Nationals W 17-0 Ryne Nelson vs Patrick Corbin
    July 31 Nationals W 5-4 Zac Gallen vs MacKenzie Gore
    August 2 @ Pirates W 9-8 Brandon Pfaadt vs Luis Ortiz
    August 3 @ Pirates - Jordan Montgomery vs Mitch Keller
    August 4 @ Pirates - Ryne Nelson vs Paul Skenes
    August 5 @ Guardians - Ryne Nelson vs Gavin Williams
    August 6 @ Guardians - Zac Gallen vs Ben Lively
    August 7 @ Guardians - Brandon Pfaadt vs Carlos Carrasco
    August 8 Phillies - Jordan Montgomery vs TBA

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    dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.