Friday's contest that pits the Pittsburgh Pirates (29-33) versus the Minnesota Twins (33-29) at PNC Park is expected to be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Pirates. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET on June 7.

The Twins will give the nod to Joe Ryan (4-4, 3.38 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 5 on the season, and the Pirates will turn to Mitch Keller (7-3, 3.42 ERA).

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Twins vs. Pirates Game Info & Odds

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Twins vs. Pirates Score Prediction

  • Our prediction for this contest is Pirates 5, Twins 4.

Total Prediction for Twins vs. Pirates

  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

Twins Performance Insights

  • The Twins have played as the favorite in three of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, Minnesota and its opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
  • This season, the Twins have won 22 out of the 35 games, or 62.9%, in which they've been favored.
  • Minnesota has a record of 21-13, a 61.8% win rate, when favored by -120 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Twins.
  • Minnesota has scored 271 runs (4.4 per game) this season, which ranks 17th in MLB.
  • The Twins have the 21st-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.27).

Pirates Performance Insights

  • In eight games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have posted a mark of 3-5.
  • When it comes to the over/under, Pittsburgh and its foes are 7-3-0 in its last 10 contests.
  • The Pirates have come away with 19 wins in the 34 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Pittsburgh has won 15 of 28 games when listed as at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • The offense for Pittsburgh is the No. 20 offense in the majors, scoring 4.1 runs per game (257 total runs).
  • Pirates pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.00 ERA this year, which ranks 16th in MLB.

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Twins Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 1 @ Astros L 5-2 Joe Ryan vs Framber Valdez
June 2 @ Astros W 4-3 Simeon Woods Richardson vs Hunter Brown
June 4 @ Yankees L 5-1 Bailey Ober vs Luis Gil
June 5 @ Yankees L 9-5 Chris Paddack vs Carlos Rodón
June 6 @ Yankees L 8-5 Pablo Lopez vs Marcus Stroman
June 7 @ Pirates - Joe Ryan vs Mitch Keller
June 8 @ Pirates - Simeon Woods Richardson vs Quinn Priester
June 9 @ Pirates - Bailey Ober vs Jared Jones
June 10 Rockies - Chris Paddack vs Dakota Hudson
June 11 Rockies - Pablo Lopez vs Cal Quantrill
June 12 Rockies - Joe Ryan vs Austin Gomber

Pirates Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 1 @ Blue Jays W 8-1 Mitch Keller vs Yusei Kikuchi
June 2 @ Blue Jays L 5-4 Quinn Priester vs Chris Bassitt
June 4 Dodgers W 1-0 Jared Jones vs Tyler Glasnow
June 5 Dodgers W 10-6 Paul Skenes vs James Paxton
June 6 Dodgers L 11-7 Bailey Falter vs Walker Buehler
June 7 Twins - Mitch Keller vs Joe Ryan
June 8 Twins - Quinn Priester vs Simeon Woods Richardson
June 9 Twins - Jared Jones vs Bailey Ober
June 11 @ Cardinals - Paul Skenes vs Miles Mikolas
June 12 @ Cardinals - Bailey Falter vs Sonny Gray
June 13 @ Cardinals - Mitch Keller vs Lance Lynn

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.