The Tampa Bay Lightning (40-25-7) host the New York Islanders (31-26-15) on Saturday, March 30, with both teams coming off a victory in their last game. Lightning (-158) versus Islanders (+133) has a clear favorite, according to the moneyline odds.
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Lightning vs. Islanders Picks
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Total Pick
Pick OU: Over 6 (model projecting 6.6 goals)
- This season, Tampa Bay games have gone over this one's 6-goal over/under 49 times.
- A total of 44 of New York's games have ended with more than 6 goals this season.
- The Lightning score 3.47 goals per game, compared to the Islanders' average of 2.97, adding up to 0.4 more goals than this contest's over/under of 6.
- These two teams are allowing a combined 6.6 goals per game, 0.6 more than this contest's over/under.
Moneyline Pick
Lightning Moneyline: -158
- The Lightning have been victorious in 25 of their 40 games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (62.5%).
- When it has played with moneyline odds of -158 or shorter, Tampa Bay has put together an 11-4 record (winning 73.3% of its games).
- The Lightning's implied moneyline win probability is 61.2% in this matchup.
Islanders Moneyline: +133
- New York has earned an upset victory 16 times when playing as the underdog on the moneyline this season (in 37 games as the underdog).
- The Islanders have won five games with moneyline odds of +133 or longer (in 10 such games).
- New York's moneyline gives it an implied probability of 42.9% to win this contest.
Score Prediction
Prediction:
Tampa Bay 4, New York 2
Lightning Leaders
- Nikita Kucherov has been imperative to Tampa Bay's offense this season, registering 124 points in 71 games.
- Brayden Point has 81 points (42 goals, 39 assists) to add to the team's offensive efforts.
- Tampa Bay's offensive effort is aided by Victor Hedman's 81 points. He's contributed 58 assists.
- In 45 games played this season, Andrei Vasilevskiy (27-16-2) has allowed 128 goals.
Islanders Points Leaders
- Mathew Barzal is a top offensive contributor for his club with 74 points (one per game). He has totaled 23 goals and 51 assists in 71 games (playing 19:45 per game).
- Noah Dobson is crucial for New York's offense with 66 total points (0.9 per game), including nine goals and 57 assists through 72 games.
- Bo Horvat has scored 29 goals and contributed 34 assists for New York, giving him a point total of 63.
- Ilya Sorokin has a .906 save percentage (30th in the league), with 1534 total saves, while giving up 158 goals (3.1 goals against average). He has put up a 22-19-11 record between the posts for New York this season.
Lightning's Schedule
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Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|
3/23/2024 | Kings | L 4-3 | Away | +109 |
3/24/2024 | Ducks | W 3-2 | Away | -229 |
3/27/2024 | Bruins | W 3-1 | Home | -116 |
3/30/2024 | Islanders | - | Home | -158 |
4/1/2024 | Red Wings | - | Home | - |
4/3/2024 | Maple Leafs | - | Away | - |
4/4/2024 | Canadiens | - | Away | - |
Islanders' Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|
3/23/2024 | Jets | W 6-3 | Home | +120 |
3/24/2024 | Devils | L 4-0 | Home | -131 |
3/28/2024 | Panthers | W 3-2 | Away | +159 |
3/30/2024 | Lightning | - | Away | +133 |
4/1/2024 | Flyers | - | Away | - |
4/2/2024 | Blackhawks | - | Home | - |
4/4/2024 | Blue Jackets | - | Away | - |
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Tampa Bay vs. New York Game Info
- Date: Saturday, March 30, 2024
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- How to Watch on TV: ESPN+, BSSUN, and MSGSN
- Location: Tampa, Florida
- Venue: Amalie Arena
- Live Stream:Watch this game on ESPN+
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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.