The Tampa Bay Lightning (40-25-7) host the New York Islanders (31-26-15) on Saturday, March 30, with both teams coming off a victory in their last game. Lightning (-158) versus Islanders (+133) has a clear favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

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Lightning vs. Islanders Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 6 (model projecting 6.6 goals)

  • This season, Tampa Bay games have gone over this one's 6-goal over/under 49 times.
  • A total of 44 of New York's games have ended with more than 6 goals this season.
  • The Lightning score 3.47 goals per game, compared to the Islanders' average of 2.97, adding up to 0.4 more goals than this contest's over/under of 6.
  • These two teams are allowing a combined 6.6 goals per game, 0.6 more than this contest's over/under.

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Moneyline Pick

Lightning Moneyline: -158

  • The Lightning have been victorious in 25 of their 40 games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (62.5%).
  • When it has played with moneyline odds of -158 or shorter, Tampa Bay has put together an 11-4 record (winning 73.3% of its games).
  • The Lightning's implied moneyline win probability is 61.2% in this matchup.

Islanders Moneyline: +133

  • New York has earned an upset victory 16 times when playing as the underdog on the moneyline this season (in 37 games as the underdog).
  • The Islanders have won five games with moneyline odds of +133 or longer (in 10 such games).
  • New York's moneyline gives it an implied probability of 42.9% to win this contest.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Tampa Bay 4, New York 2

Lightning Leaders

  • Nikita Kucherov has been imperative to Tampa Bay's offense this season, registering 124 points in 71 games.
  • Brayden Point has 81 points (42 goals, 39 assists) to add to the team's offensive efforts.
  • Tampa Bay's offensive effort is aided by Victor Hedman's 81 points. He's contributed 58 assists.
  • In 45 games played this season, Andrei Vasilevskiy (27-16-2) has allowed 128 goals.

Islanders Points Leaders

  • Mathew Barzal is a top offensive contributor for his club with 74 points (one per game). He has totaled 23 goals and 51 assists in 71 games (playing 19:45 per game).
  • Noah Dobson is crucial for New York's offense with 66 total points (0.9 per game), including nine goals and 57 assists through 72 games.
  • Bo Horvat has scored 29 goals and contributed 34 assists for New York, giving him a point total of 63.
  • Ilya Sorokin has a .906 save percentage (30th in the league), with 1534 total saves, while giving up 158 goals (3.1 goals against average). He has put up a 22-19-11 record between the posts for New York this season.

Lightning's Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
3/23/2024 Kings L 4-3 Away +109
3/24/2024 Ducks W 3-2 Away -229
3/27/2024 Bruins W 3-1 Home -116
3/30/2024 Islanders - Home -158
4/1/2024 Red Wings - Home -
4/3/2024 Maple Leafs - Away -
4/4/2024 Canadiens - Away -

Islanders' Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
3/23/2024 Jets W 6-3 Home +120
3/24/2024 Devils L 4-0 Home -131
3/28/2024 Panthers W 3-2 Away +159
3/30/2024 Lightning - Away +133
4/1/2024 Flyers - Away -
4/2/2024 Blackhawks - Home -
4/4/2024 Blue Jackets - Away -

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Tampa Bay vs. New York Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, March 30, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: ESPN+, BSSUN, and MSGSN
  • Location: Tampa, Florida
  • Venue: Amalie Arena
  • Live Stream:Watch this game on ESPN+

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.