Sunday's game between the Boston Red Sox (61-54) and Houston Astros (61-55) matching up at Fenway Park has a projected final score of 5-4 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Red Sox, so it should be a tight matchup. The game will start at 1:35 PM ET on August 11.

The Astros will give the ball to Hunter Brown (9-7, 3.98 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 10 on the season, and the Red Sox will counter with James Paxton (9-3, 4.42 ERA).

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Astros vs. Red Sox Game Info & Odds

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Astros vs. Red Sox Score Prediction

  • Our pick for this matchup is Red Sox 5, Astros 4.

Total Prediction for Astros vs. Red Sox

  • Total Prediction: Under 10 runs

Read More About This Game

  • How to Watch Red Sox vs. Astros

    • Astros Performance Insights

    • The Astros have played as the favorite in seven of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
    • Houston and its opponents have combined to hit the over three times in its last 10 games with a total.
    • This season, the Astros have won 45 out of the 82 games, or 54.9%, in which they've been favored.
    • Houston has a record of 34-24, a 58.6% win rate, when favored by -135 or more by sportsbooks this season.
    • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 57.4% chance to win.
    • Houston has scored the 13th-most runs in the majors this season with 532 (4.6 per game).
    • The Astros have a 3.96 team ERA that ranks 12th across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Red Sox Performance Insights

    • In seven games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Red Sox have a record of 5-2.
    • In its previous 10 matchups with a total posted by oddsmakers, Boston and its foes are 8-2-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
    • The Red Sox have been victorious in 28, or 54.9%, of the 51 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
    • Boston has a mark of 15-14 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +110 or worse on the moneyline.
    • The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
    • The offense for Boston is No. 5 in the majors, scoring five runs per game (571 total runs).
    • Red Sox pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.07 ERA this year, which ranks 17th in MLB.

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    Astros Schedule

    Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
    August 5 @ Rangers L 4-3 Hunter Brown vs Andrew Heaney
    August 6 @ Rangers W 4-2 Framber Valdez vs Tyler Mahle
    August 7 @ Rangers W 6-4 Yusei Kikuchi vs José Ureña
    August 9 @ Red Sox W 8-4 Ronel Blanco vs Tanner Houck
    August 10 @ Red Sox W 5-4 Spencer Arrighetti vs Josh Winckowski
    August 11 @ Red Sox - Hunter Brown vs James Paxton
    August 12 @ Rays - Framber Valdez vs Taj Bradley
    August 13 @ Rays - Yusei Kikuchi vs Shane Baz
    August 14 @ Rays - Ronel Blanco vs Zack Littell
    August 16 White Sox - Spencer Arrighetti vs Garrett Crochet
    August 17 White Sox - TBA vs TBA

    Red Sox Schedule

    Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
    August 5 @ Royals W 9-5 James Paxton vs Brady Singer
    August 6 @ Royals W 6-5 Brayan Bello vs Seth Lugo
    August 7 @ Royals L 8-4 Kutter Crawford vs Cole Ragans
    August 9 Astros L 8-4 Tanner Houck vs Ronel Blanco
    August 10 Astros L 5-4 Josh Winckowski vs Spencer Arrighetti
    August 11 Astros - James Paxton vs Hunter Brown
    August 12 Rangers - Brayan Bello vs Tyler Mahle
    August 13 Rangers - Kutter Crawford vs Tyler Mahle
    August 14 Rangers - Tanner Houck vs Cody Bradford
    August 15 @ Orioles - Nick Pivetta vs Zach Eflin
    August 16 @ Orioles - James Paxton vs Corbin Burnes

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    dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.