Wednesday's contest that pits the Cincinnati Reds (19-28) against the San Diego Padres (25-25) at Great American Ball Park should be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Reds. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET on May 22.

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Padres will send Michael King (3-4) to the mound, while Nick Martinez (1-2) will answer the bell for the Reds.

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Padres vs. Reds Game Info & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, May 22, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: BSOH
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
  • Tickets:Get tickets for this game at StubHub

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Padres vs. Reds Score Prediction

  • Our pick for this matchup is Reds 6, Padres 5.

Total Prediction for Padres vs. Reds

  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs

Padres Performance Insights

  • The Padres have played as the favorite in four of their past 10 games and have won one of those contests.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • This season, the Padres have won 12 out of the 24 games, or 50%, in which they've been favored.
  • San Diego has a record of 9-11 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -125 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 55.6%.
  • San Diego has scored 229 runs this season, which ranks sixth in MLB.
  • The Padres' 4.00 team ERA ranks 15th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Reds Performance Insights

  • The Reds have played as the underdog in nine of their past 10 games and have gone 3-6 in those contests.
  • In its last 10 games with an over/under, Cincinnati and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total four times.
  • The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 26 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (26.9%) in those games.
  • This season, Cincinnati has been victorious five times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Averaging 4.1 runs per game (195 total), Cincinnati is the 21st-highest scoring team in baseball.
  • The Reds have pitched to a 4.00 ERA this season, which ranks 15th in baseball.

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Padres Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
May 17 @ Braves W 3-1 Matt Waldron vs Max Fried
May 19 @ Braves W 9-1 Yu Darvish vs Bryce Elder
May 20 @ Braves W 6-5 Dylan Cease vs Reynaldo López
May 20 @ Braves L 3-0 Randy Vasquez vs Chris Sale
May 21 @ Reds - Joe Musgrove vs Andrew Abbott
May 22 @ Reds - Michael King vs Nick Martínez
May 23 @ Reds - Matt Waldron vs Frankie Montás
May 24 Yankees - Yu Darvish vs Carlos Rodón
May 25 Yankees - Dylan Cease vs Marcus Stroman
May 26 Yankees - Joe Musgrove vs Clarke Schmidt
May 27 Marlins - Michael King vs Trevor Rogers

Reds Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
May 16 @ Dodgers W 7-2 Brent Suter vs Tyler Glasnow
May 17 @ Dodgers L 7-3 Frankie Montás vs James Paxton
May 18 @ Dodgers L 4-0 Graham Ashcraft vs Walker Buehler
May 19 @ Dodgers L 3-2 Hunter Greene vs Landon Knack
May 21 Padres - Andrew Abbott vs Joe Musgrove
May 22 Padres - Nick Martínez vs Michael King
May 23 Padres - Frankie Montás vs Matt Waldron
May 24 Dodgers - Graham Ashcraft vs James Paxton
May 25 Dodgers - Hunter Greene vs Walker Buehler
May 26 Dodgers - Andrew Abbott vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto
May 27 Cardinals - Nick Martínez vs Lance Lynn

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.