Wednesday's contest that pits the Cincinnati Reds (19-28) against the San Diego Padres (25-25) at Great American Ball Park should be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Reds. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET on May 22.
This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Padres will send Michael King (3-4) to the mound, while Nick Martinez (1-2) will answer the bell for the Reds.
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Padres vs. Reds Game Info & Odds
- When: Wednesday, May 22, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
- How to Watch on TV: BSOH
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
- Tickets:Get tickets for this game at StubHub
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Padres vs. Reds Score Prediction
- Our pick for this matchup is Reds 6, Padres 5.
Total Prediction for Padres vs. Reds
- Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Padres Performance Insights
- The Padres have played as the favorite in four of their past 10 games and have won one of those contests.
- In its last 10 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- This season, the Padres have won 12 out of the 24 games, or 50%, in which they've been favored.
- San Diego has a record of 9-11 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -125 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 55.6%.
- San Diego has scored 229 runs this season, which ranks sixth in MLB.
- The Padres' 4.00 team ERA ranks 15th across all MLB pitching staffs.
Reds Performance Insights
- The Reds have played as the underdog in nine of their past 10 games and have gone 3-6 in those contests.
- In its last 10 games with an over/under, Cincinnati and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total four times.
- The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 26 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (26.9%) in those games.
- This season, Cincinnati has been victorious five times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Averaging 4.1 runs per game (195 total), Cincinnati is the 21st-highest scoring team in baseball.
- The Reds have pitched to a 4.00 ERA this season, which ranks 15th in baseball.
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Padres Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
May 17 | @ Braves | W 3-1 | Matt Waldron vs Max Fried |
May 19 | @ Braves | W 9-1 | Yu Darvish vs Bryce Elder |
May 20 | @ Braves | W 6-5 | Dylan Cease vs Reynaldo López |
May 20 | @ Braves | L 3-0 | Randy Vasquez vs Chris Sale |
May 21 | @ Reds | - | Joe Musgrove vs Andrew Abbott |
May 22 | @ Reds | - | Michael King vs Nick Martínez |
May 23 | @ Reds | - | Matt Waldron vs Frankie Montás |
May 24 | Yankees | - | Yu Darvish vs Carlos Rodón |
May 25 | Yankees | - | Dylan Cease vs Marcus Stroman |
May 26 | Yankees | - | Joe Musgrove vs Clarke Schmidt |
May 27 | Marlins | - | Michael King vs Trevor Rogers |
Reds Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
May 16 | @ Dodgers | W 7-2 | Brent Suter vs Tyler Glasnow |
May 17 | @ Dodgers | L 7-3 | Frankie Montás vs James Paxton |
May 18 | @ Dodgers | L 4-0 | Graham Ashcraft vs Walker Buehler |
May 19 | @ Dodgers | L 3-2 | Hunter Greene vs Landon Knack |
May 21 | Padres | - | Andrew Abbott vs Joe Musgrove |
May 22 | Padres | - | Nick Martínez vs Michael King |
May 23 | Padres | - | Frankie Montás vs Matt Waldron |
May 24 | Dodgers | - | Graham Ashcraft vs James Paxton |
May 25 | Dodgers | - | Hunter Greene vs Walker Buehler |
May 26 | Dodgers | - | Andrew Abbott vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto |
May 27 | Cardinals | - | Nick Martínez vs Lance Lynn |
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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.