Sunday's game that pits the New York Yankees (36-17) versus the San Diego Padres (27-27) at PETCO Park should be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Yankees. First pitch is at 4:10 PM ET on May 26.

The Padres will give the nod to Joe Musgrove (3-4, 6.14 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 4 on the season, and the Yankees will counter with Clarke Schmidt (5-2, 2.59 ERA).

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Padres vs. Yankees Game Info & Odds

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Padres vs. Yankees Score Prediction

  • Our prediction for this contest is Yankees 5, Padres 4.

Total Prediction for Padres vs. Yankees

  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs

Padres Performance Insights

  • The Padres have played as the favorite in six of their past 10 games and have won two of those contests.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents are 8-2-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Padres have entered the game as favorites 27 times this season and won 14, or 51.9%, of those games.
  • This season San Diego has won 10 of its 23 games, or 43.5%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • San Diego has scored the eighth-most runs in the majors this season with 242.
  • The Padres' 4.00 team ERA ranks 16th among all league pitching staffs.

Yankees Performance Insights

  • Over their last 10 contests, the Yankees were named underdogs twice and won each contest.
  • In its last 10 games with an over/under, New York and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total five times.
  • The Yankees have won in nine, or 69.2%, of the 13 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • New York has a win-loss record of 4-1 when favored by +100 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • The offense for New York is No. 4 in MLB, scoring 4.9 runs per game (260 total runs).
  • The Yankees have the first-best ERA (2.81) in the majors this season.

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Padres Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
May 20 @ Braves L 3-0 Randy Vasquez vs Chris Sale
May 21 @ Reds L 2-0 Joe Musgrove vs Andrew Abbott
May 22 @ Reds W 7-3 Michael King vs Nick Martínez
May 23 @ Reds W 6-4 Matt Waldron vs Frankie Montás
May 24 Yankees L 8-0 Yu Darvish vs Carlos Rodón
May 26 Yankees - Joe Musgrove vs Clarke Schmidt
May 27 Marlins - Michael King vs Trevor Rogers
May 28 Marlins - Matt Waldron vs Jesús Luzardo
May 29 Marlins - Yu Darvish vs Braxton Garrett
May 31 @ Royals - Dylan Cease vs Michael Wacha
June 1 @ Royals - Joe Musgrove vs Alec Marsh

Yankees Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
May 20 Mariners L 5-4 Marcus Stroman vs Logan Gilbert
May 21 Mariners L 6-3 Clarke Schmidt vs Bryan Woo
May 22 Mariners W 7-3 Nestor Cortes Jr. vs Bryce Miller
May 23 Mariners W 5-0 Luis Gil vs Luis Castillo
May 24 @ Padres W 8-0 Carlos Rodón vs Yu Darvish
May 26 @ Padres - Clarke Schmidt vs Joe Musgrove
May 28 @ Angels - Nestor Cortes Jr. vs Griffin Canning
May 29 @ Angels - Luis Gil vs Tyler Anderson
May 30 @ Angels - Carlos Rodón vs Patrick Sandoval
May 31 @ Giants - Marcus Stroman vs Jordan Hicks
June 1 @ Giants - Clarke Schmidt vs Logan Webb

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.